70% Chance of Tropical Cyclone Formation Says NHC
A low pressure area, which the National Hurricane Center in Miami has been tracking for several days, now shows strong indications that it will develop into a tropical cyclone.
The latest NHC bulletin, published at 8:00 EDT said that “surface pressures are falling in the central and southeastern Bahamas and satellite images indicate an increase since yesterday in the organization of the shower activity associated with the tropical wave.”
The lowest pressure is “centered between the islands of Acklins and Great Inagua, and moving toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph. A tropical depression or a tropical storm could form at any time today.”
The NHC’s forecast indicates that there’s a “high chance – 70 percent -.of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Showers and strong gusty winds associated with this disturbance will spread over the Bahamas, portions of Cuba and southern Florida and the Keys during the next couple of days.”
Source: National Hurricane Center