Experts See Expanding Role for Parametric Insurance, Including for U.S. Disasters
Catastrophic losses this year due to extreme weather events have led to a growing interest in parametric insurance in the U.S., according to industry experts.
Parametric coverage is also gaining traction as hazard modeling continues to improve, weather stations more accurately gauge wind speeds and satellites snap images that reveal the extent of flood damage.
Some see the custom coverage having a future role in insuring floods, business interruption and other specific risks.
Parametric insurance covers a set event, like an earthquake of a certain magnitude or a hurricane that unleashes winds over a certain speed. Payment occurs if the parameters surrounding the event are triggered. The payment itself is also an agreed upon figure prior to the event. Thus, there is no need for claims adjustment after the event occurs.
Multinational insurer AXA Corporate describes its parametrics department as one that “uses new types of information and big data processing methods to build custom-made insurance covers against unexpected weather events.”
According to Stephen Moss, director for RMS Capital Market Solutions, interest around parametrics is focused primarily on large-scale commercial contracts. “These structures work well where there are relatively highly concentrated assets in the regions of high and specific risk,” he said.
The specific risks parametric coverage targets are generally specialty coverages.
“In traditional policies, we see these risks being dealt with through endorsements. Perils such as hurricane endorsements, earthquake endorsements, flood endorsements, etc. These don’t generally form part of a bulk, standard policy, but are incredibly important where we see that overlay of high hazard and high exposure,” Moss said.
Parametric products aren’t only used for limit protection, they are also used for deductible protection and to help people collectively proxy a deductible buyback, Moss explained.
“We are seeing growing interest in regions like Florida, where we have the high risk component, but also because of the significant deductibles associated with traditional hurricane policies,” he said.
Customization is key in constructing a parametric policy to ensure there isn’t a disparity between the loss incurred and the payout provided by the policy, Moss said.
“The complexity and structuring of parametric policies requires an in-depth understanding of the risk itself,” Moss said. “Therefore, if the prospective policyholder either has that understanding of the risk themselves, or can work alongside someone who can bring that insight, then they can truly tailor the structure to specifically address needs.”
Nigel Brook, partner at global law firm Clyde & Co., agrees there is growing interest in parametric insurance both in the U.S. and in Europe.
According to Brook, some lines of insurance could benefit from parametric coverage. For example, an insurer might gain a better understanding of its business interruption risk if insuring it under a parametric policy. That’s because it takes months to assess a business income loss under conventional insurance.
He also sees the potential for parametric insurance to reconfigure flood insurance, and he expects to see a mix of parametric and conventional coverage in the future.
Structuring a Policy
A parametric policy is more about inclusion than exclusions, Moss and Brook agree.
“Parametric structures are generally structured in a way which defines the inclusions rather than having a base policy and then specifying exclusions,” Moss said. “They are explicit in how they determine what risks they cover. It’s this explicit nature that means that it is simple to say, ‘this policy will cover a specified risk,’ ‘will trigger when a specified parameter level is reached’ and ‘it will pay out a specified amount when that criteria is met.'”
There is no need to refer to the actual exposure, Moss said. The policy doesn’t care what the asset at risk is.
“All a parametric policy cares about is how hard does the wind blow or how much does the ground shake. That’s what defines whether there is a payout from the policy or not,” Moss said.
Defining the parameters is paramount, as is having explicit definitions on who decides how quickly or how hard the wind blows. Payment under the policy occurs when an agreed upon entity, such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), issues a measurement on wind speed after an event. The policy is time-bound after an event to allow the insurer to obtain the specific information.
“What is required to determine the parameters is a party who’s independent, well recognized and well respected — nationally or internationally. In the U.S., for hurricanes, we generally see NOAA taking this role, or the U.S. Geological Survey for earthquakes,” Moss said.
Parametric insurance covers a set event, like an earthquake of a certain magnitude or a hurricane that unleashes winds over a certain speed.
Moss aid independence is essential as it removes the subjectivity associated with payouts and removes concerns around moral hazard. Removing subjectivity allows clarity over who makes that definition on the parameter and what time period is acceptable before a final determination is made. “This provides speed of payment, clarity of payment value and can remove the potential for legal challenges caused when the causes of loss become difficult to separate,” Moss said.
Both Brook and Moss contend that the key upside of parametric insurance over conventional indemnity insurance is the fact that no loss assessment is necessary, leading to a speedier loss payment.
“The whole process of payment is much faster because that determination, once it’s made, then you can just make a payout,” Moss said.
In addition, parametric coverage benefits insurers by taking the burden of assessing a loss off insurance adjusters, Moss said.
Another benefit, according to both experts, is that parametric insurance may be cheaper than conventional policies.
Still another advantage is the flexibility of this kind of policy, said Moss, where an event could be insured for just one day or for much longer than a conventional year-long policy.
Moss said the policy terms are dependent upon what the policyholder wants to achieve.
“How soon does the policy holder need the money after a loss? If we look at some of the parametric contracts out there, some of them have been paid out in three months and others within 14 days,” Moss explained. “What matters is the goal. Are they trying to achieve an immediate capital injection after an event so that they can rebuild their manufacturing plant or if the immediate capital isn’t that important, they’re happy to wait 90 days or even a year? I think it comes down to structuring the policy in the appropriate way to fit the need for which that policyholder is buying that protection.”
Another advantage to procuring parametric insurance is that it isn’t necessary to procure reinsurance, an insured could purchase a catastrophe bond instead.
Experts admit there are a few downsides to this type of coverage. One downside is the basis risk, the difference between the amount that is lost and the amount that is paid out, Moss explained.
Will the policyholder get the correct amount of money?
“Unexpected basis risk is something which we always try and avoid when we’re structuring these contracts. But, often, unexpected basis risk can manifest itself in traditional insurance policies as well, whereby people expect to be paid, but don’t because they’ve got an exclusion that they hadn’t incorporated into their thinking around that policy.” Moss said.
Another possibility is the risk might not be triggered at all.
Yet another possibility, according to Brook, is if an error is made in the description of the property insured, as in the case of an ARC model in which the policyholder identified the wrong crop to be protected. African Risk Capacity (ARC) parametric insurance is offered through the government to cover countries in Africa for drought.
“Structural diligence is vital,” Moss said. “When defining a structure, we sit down and clearly define the needs of the contract. If it is trying to proxy a traditional insurance contract and match actual losses, it would need to be structured so as to bring basis risk down as low as possible.”
According to Conor Meenan, senior consultant in RMS’ Capital and Adjacent Markets team, there are built-in redundancies within the contracts.
“We talk about the primary reporting agencies. Let’s say if the contract is based off surge heights, then NOAA may be the primary reporting agency, but then there are secondary and tertiary, and even fourth backups for that system. You don’t want the insurance to fail if the surge station goes down
during the event. There are redundancies built into these parametric contracts,” Meenan explained.
Moss emphasized the need to have more than one independent arbiter.
“You need to have fall-backs. If a station goes down, you need to have another measurement to fall back upon,” Moss said.
“Part of the game when trying to design one of these contracts is to think about all the what-ifs and define contingencies in case of failure.”
According to Moss and Brook, a parametric policy looks physically different than a traditional policy.
Policies will range from a few pages to several. For example, ARC policies, said Brook, read and look like a doctoral thesis. They contain grid points along with other scientific data.
There’s also no need for one-year term policies.
“We actually have seen some parametric products that only provide protection for a six-month period around the hurricane season. There’s no real need to define it as a one-year term, particularly if the cost of implementing these is significantly lower,” Moss said. “Part of the reason for having a one-year traditional policy is you need to update your exposure. You don’t need to do that in a parametric policy because the assets which underlie that just don’t affect the payout. As such, we can remove that temporal limitations from the contract.”
Parametric policies are currently being offered by insurance-linked securities specialist funds, investment banks and some larger insurers.
“There’s a mix out there of who is actually going out and providing these kinds of protections,” Moss said. “We are seeing a whole raft of different investors, funds, insurance companies and others throughout the insurance value chain starting to get to grips with parametric contracts and starting to provide them as options to their more advanced clients.”
Moss said there is support for this kind of product from the alternative investment capital side, as well.
“Those kinds of investors are much keener to get answers fast,” Moss said. “They are in the game to take certain risks and accept those risks. In the end, they just want to know whether they are going to take a loss on a contract or whether they should be thinking about redeploying their capital.”